Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.691253 0.769755 0.854938 0.954464 1.067843 1.193313 1.343124
2025-08-03 0.566302 0.673203 0.798458 0.957027 1.153789 1.391694 1.703814
2025-08-10 0.500260 0.620302 0.768166 0.965605 1.225218 1.558972 2.027094
2025-08-17 0.439764 0.563340 0.721595 0.941987 1.245541 1.655740 2.263805
2025-08-24 0.404982 0.533860 0.704682 0.951705 1.306547 1.808525 2.592052
2025-08-31 0.371263 0.501493 0.679269 0.944856 1.340650 1.923716 2.876960
2025-09-07 0.346203 0.478160 0.663220 0.948138 1.387569 2.060160 3.209583
2025-09-14 0.319368 0.449655 0.636703 0.932368 1.402400 2.146788 3.470811
2025-09-21 0.296937 0.425534 0.614194 0.919810 1.419672 2.237286 3.748338
2025-09-28 0.271168 0.394406 0.578520 0.883023 1.393278 2.251374 3.890856
2025-10-05 0.262270 0.388105 0.580134 0.905575 1.466794 2.442414 4.382803
2025-10-12 0.253110 0.380607 0.579070 0.923214 1.533034 2.627250 4.889584
2025-10-19 0.243313 0.371713 0.575541 0.937158 1.595663 2.815747 5.440552
2025-10-26 0.232373 0.360250 0.566991 0.941707 1.641856 2.979294 5.968680
2025-11-02 0.223110 0.350822 0.560980 0.949907 1.695183 3.162426 6.569669
2025-11-09 0.209165 0.332660 0.538790 0.926760 1.685650 3.217179 6.888229
2025-11-16 0.201849 0.325229 0.534559 0.936291 1.741073 3.412915 7.572968
2025-11-23 0.192517 0.313729 0.522333 0.929572 1.762761 3.538783 8.109147
2025-11-30 0.185410 0.305655 0.515630 0.932792 1.805050 3.714808 8.805814
2025-12-07 0.176110 0.293157 0.500076 0.917321 1.806073 3.797176 9.269757
2025-12-14 0.167916 0.282187 0.486644 0.904999 1.812614 3.893026 9.789293
2025-12-21 0.157098 0.265909 0.462384 0.868904 1.763281 3.849685 9.905071
2025-12-28 0.154539 0.264601 0.466258 0.891032 1.846977 4.141651 11.066249